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Roth Conversion Calculator — Methodology

Last updated: October 2026

How This Calculator Works

This calculator models the tax impact of converting pre-tax retirement funds (Traditional IRA/401k) to a Roth IRA. It compares the future value of Roth vs. Traditional accounts, identifies bracket optimization opportunities, and flags IRMAA Medicare premium surcharges.

Inputs and Assumptions

  • Filing status: Single, Married Filing Jointly, Married Filing Separately, Head of Household.
  • Other ordinary income: Wages, SS, RMDs, and other taxable income (excluding the conversion).
  • Traditional balance: Total pre-tax retirement account balance.
  • Conversion amount: The amount you plan to convert this year.
  • Years to retirement: Growth period for both Roth and Traditional accounts.
  • Expected annual return: Applied equally to both Roth and Traditional accounts.
  • Retirement tax rate: Your estimated marginal tax rate in retirement.

Formula

// Tax on conversion (using 2026 federal brackets, Rev. Proc. 2025-32)
taxableIncomeBefore = max(0, otherOrdinaryIncome - standardDeduction)
taxableIncomeAfter = max(0, otherOrdinaryIncome + conversionAmount - standardDeduction)
taxOnConversion = totalTax(after) - totalTax(before)
effectiveRate = taxOnConversion / conversionAmount

// Bracket headroom
headroom = currentBracketCeiling - taxableIncomeBefore
recommendedConversion = max(0, headroom)

// Future value comparison
rothFV = conversionAmount × (1 + returnRate)^years
// Roth: no tax on withdrawal

traditionalFV = conversionAmount × (1 + returnRate)^years
traditionalAfterTax = traditionalFV × (1 - retirementTaxRate)

// Net advantage: the tax paid now could have been invested instead
netAdvantage = rothFV - traditionalAfterTax - taxOnConversion × (1 + returnRate)^years
// = (1 + returnRate)^years × (conversionAmount × retirementTaxRate - taxOnConversion)
// Roth comes out ahead when retirementTaxRate > effectiveRate; equal rates are a tie

// Social Security taxation warning (26 U.S.C. 86(c))
Single / head of household: income above $34,000
Married filing jointly: above $44,000
Married filing separately (lived with spouse during the year): $0

// IRMAA warning (2026 thresholds, CMS / SSA POMS HI 01101.020)
Single: MAGI > $109,000
MFJ: MAGI > $218,000
MFS (lived with spouse): standard premium up to $109,000;
  above $109,000 the second-highest tier; $391,000+ the top tier

Data Sources

  • IRS Rev. Proc. 2025-32 — 2026 federal income tax brackets and standard deductions.
  • IRS Publication 590-A — IRA contribution and conversion rules.
  • CMS (Centers for Medicare & Medicaid Services) — IRMAA income thresholds and premium surcharge amounts for 2026.
  • SSA — Provisional income calculation for Social Security benefit taxation thresholds ($25K single, $32K MFJ for 50% taxation; $34K single, $44K MFJ for 85% taxation).

Limitations

  • Uses 2026 federal tax brackets only — state taxes are not included.
  • Models a single year's conversion. A multi-year planner is being corrected and is not shown.
  • Does not account for the Roth 5-year rule on converted amounts.
  • IRMAA warning uses current thresholds — these adjust annually.
  • Does not model Required Minimum Distributions (RMDs) that begin at age 73 (75 if born in 1960 or later).
  • Retirement tax rate is a user estimate — actual future rates depend on legislation and income sources.

Last Updated

April 2026 — Methodology published.

October 2026 — Brackets and standard deduction moved to 2026 (Rev. Proc. 2025-32); IRMAA first-tier thresholds are the 2026 CMS figures ($109,000 / $218,000).

Last updated: October 2026Calculator methodologyReport an error

This calculator is for educational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. This calculator uses 2026 federal tax brackets. State taxes are not included. Roth conversion suitability depends on individual circumstances. Consult a CPA or fee-only tax planner before executing a conversion. Full disclaimer →

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